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美记:凯尔特人是祖巴茨的潜在追求者,他们寻求中锋位置升级(美媒:凯尔特人有意祖巴茨,寻求升级中锋位置)

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Analyzing CBA implications

The new CBA imposes a hard cap for the Celtics, and they may be above the first apron, possibly heading towards the second apron by the 2024-25 season. Since my knowledge cutoff is October 2024, I have to be careful not to claim any updated rumors post-cutoff. Regarding the hypothetical trade structures, Zubac signed a three-year, 33 million extension in June 2022, which runs through the 2024-25 season, with salaries of around 10.3M, 10.9M, and 11.7M per year.Evaluating Celtics roster impacts

The Celtics' 2023-24 roster is massive, featuring stars like Tatum and Brown on supermax contracts, along with Jrue and Porzingis extensions. By the 2024-25 season, they will likely be a second apron team, leading to trade restrictions. This means they can't aggregate salaries, take back more salary than they send out, or include cash in trades. Additionally, there are limits on picks and they can't include players in sign-and-trades. The second apron severely restricts the use of traded player exceptions, limiting them to $5 million.Considering trade restrictions

For the 2023-24 season leading into 2024-25, the Celtics will face significant restrictions, including the inability to aggregate salaries or use traded player exceptions to exceed minimums. They won’t be able to trade for players through sign-and-trades either. If they exceed the second apron in two of four years, their 2032 first-round pick could shift to the end of the round. To acquire Zubac at 11.7 million, they'd likely need to match salaries, and Al Horford’s 10 million is the closest single salary, but he plays a crucial role.Analyzing trade options and restrictions

Since the Celtics can't aggregate contracts under the second apron rules, they can only send one contract or use a traded player exception (TPE). Their TPE from the Grant Williams trade is around $6.2 million, but it might have expired. They likely have another TPE from trading Malcolm Brogdon, but the details are unclear since they traded Smart for Porzingis and Brogdon went with Robert Williams to the Trail Blazers for Jrue Holiday. The Clippers may be hesitant to move Zubac since he’s valuable, but given their tax issues, they might consider offers. The Celtics may need Zubac for depth, durability, and physicality.Exploring trade options for Zubac

Possible trade options for acquiring Zubac could involve first-round picks, young players like Jordan Walsh, or even a sign-and-trade for Sam Hauser, though he's a valuable shooter. I could present a concise analysis, asking the user if they want a cap assessment, trade machine ideas, or pros/cons. I'd consider frameworks like a straight Horford for Zubac trade, but also explore three-team deals to navigate salary caps. I could summarize the Celtics' motivation and potential hurdles while keeping an eye on unrealistic rumors.

I'll craft an analysis in Chinese detailing player contracts, team motivations, cap restrictions, potential trade frameworks, estimated costs, and concluding about realistic possibilities. We can also ask if the user wants specifics or video content, but I’ll limit to one question.

这是个流言方向。给你几个关键信息与可行性判断:

  • 祖巴茨的球员/合同概况

    • 型:传统5号位,精于挡拆、顺下、卡位与护框,低失误、低使用率,高效吃饼与前场篮板。
    • 合同:至多打到2024-25赛季结束(2022年3年约),年薪约千万级,物美价廉,快船先发中锋。
  • 绿军为何想要

    • 波尔津吉斯伤病管理+霍福德年龄结构,需要常规赛耐磨、季后赛可打的正牌五号位。
    • 祖巴茨能提供稳定护筐与篮板,进攻端不占球权,和双探花/白/霍勒迪的持球分配不冲突。
  • CBA/交易规则的现实门槛(对绿军很关键)

    • 二围栏(Second Apron)限制严:不能聚合薪资、不能吃回更高薪、TPE使用受限,还伴随选秀权冻结风险。
    • 直观影响:波士顿很难“拼凑若干底薪”去匹配祖巴茨的年薪;更可能需要用一笔单体薪资接近的合同去换。
    • 绿军手里最接近的单体薪资是霍福德,但他是更衣室与阵容关键件,季后赛也很重要,直接换掉代价大。
    • ![cou](/assets/images/D72A72DD.jpeg)
    • 选秀资产:绿军可动用的首轮不多且价值受位置影响,想打动快船往往要真金白银的首轮/互换+年轻筹码。
  • 快船角度

    • 祖巴茨是性价比先发,快船只有在重构、换风格,或得到优质资产时才会动他。
    • 若快船仍想竞争,换走先发中锋还要另找可打的5号位,交易门槛更高。
  • ![olmBr](/assets/images/DC6CD8D2.jpg)
  • 可能的交易路径(仅示意)

    1. 一换一:霍福德 ⇄ 祖巴茨(绿军再补资产)。现实难点:绿军不想失去霍福德;快船未必愿降即战力。
    2. 三方:绿军用单体薪资送往第三队换来可用TPE/资产,再以合规方式吃下祖巴茨,快船收首轮+年轻人。难点在于二围栏限制与三方匹配的复杂度。
    3. 若绿军有尚未到期、额度合适的TPE(且规则允许使用),可用于吸收祖巴茨,但现实中大额TPE多已用尽或受限。
  • 性价比与概率

    • 祖巴茨非常适配,但价格不低;若无首轮+年轻筹码,快船动力不足。
    • 在二围栏重压下,绿军更现实的路径可能还是底薪/小额补强五号位深度,而非用核心轮换去置换。

你想看哪种深入:1) 更详细的薪资匹配/规则核算,2) 几个具体可执行的三方框架草案,还是 3) 战术适配与轮换分工预演(含祖巴茨与KP/霍福德的搭配分钟分配)?